Techniques method applications in future studies

Maness, Juana (2012) Techniques method applications in future studies. The English Press, Delhi, India. ISBN 9788132347224

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Abstract

Delphi method The Delphi method is a very popular technique used in Futures Studies. It was developed by Gordon and Helmer in 1953 at RAND. It can be defined as a method for structuring a group communication process, so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with a complex problem. It uses the iterative, independent questioning of a panel of experts to assess the timing, probability, significance and implications of factors, trends and events in the relation to the problem being considered. Panelists are not brought together but individually questioned in rounds. After the initial round, the panelists are given lists of anonymous answers from other panelists which they can use to refine their own views. Studies employing Delphi method tend to be difficult to perform. The application of the Delphi method requires a great deal of attention to the selection of participating experts and the questionnaires have to be scrupulously prepared and tested in advance.

Item Type: Book
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Divisions: Electronic Books
Depositing User: Esam @ Hisham Muhammad
Date Deposited: 06 Dec 2022 09:06
Last Modified: 06 Dec 2022 09:06
URI: http://odlsystem2.utm.my/id/eprint/3700

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